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In 2004, I visited New Zealand. It was my first international trip as part of a 6 week long geology field camp. One of the coolest experiences was getting to visit the Fox Glacier and Franz Josef Glacier on the South Island.
Checking this out, I don't see the Fox Glacier or Franz Josef Glacier specifically listed in the search field, but moving the map around, I was able to find the ice fields.
I see that they both will "survive" to 2100, but I wonder in what state. Check out this time lapse video from 2013 to 2018 showing the Franz Josef Glacier's drastic retreat! [3]
Reviewed this and it is quite impressive. The map adds much more reality to the data as opposed to regular climate maps. The one feature that I think would be awesome to add would be an interactivity layer to the bottom-right panel indicating the extinction years where you can click or hover over the warming period to view the affected glaciers on the map and their numbers.
The data comes from this paper, I don't immediately see an answer to this question though: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02513-9. My guess is that the climate is complicated and the planet doesn't warm evenly, so different emissions scenarios might imply different regions warm more quickly. Not all the glaciers on the site survive longer in the +4 scenario, it's only some parts of the world.
There was an episode of Northern Exposure where an entire frozen mammoth was exposed. Before the main character could report this amazing find to anyone to be preserved in a museum one of the locals dragged it to house and butchered it for steaks.
Okjökull is considered extinct, yet according to this website it should survive until the 2070s at least? It also gives 2079 for 1.5°C vs. 2075 for 2.7°C (I know that the local dynamic is not the same as the global one, but still).
The data is somewhat outdated:
Extinction is defined relative to the initial glacier outlines from the Randolph Glacier Inventory (RGI v6.0): released July 28, 2017.
Just checked the Glacier Blanc in the Massif des Écrins. The map's glacier vector perimeter is completely wrong : the glacier has retreated hundreds of meters already.
I hope this is just a map thing, and not the base for these predictions :/
The joke lands, but as far as I know data centers are still only around 1-2% of global electricity, and chatbots are a slice of that. Glacier loss is mostly a century of coal, oil and gas. The worry is the growth rate, not the current share.
This does seem to be the result of human activity. But I'm not really sure how the words 'we' and 'choose' work in a sentence like that. The collective of humanity doesn't really make choices the way I understand that word. And, while individual citizens make choices that contribute to this, and business people and politicians make choices that prioritize the short-term over the long term, it's not really correct to say they prefer and therefor choose the climate change. It seems like we don't have a good vocabulary for talking about the cumulative results of small choices.
Yes, us - maybe scroll down to the part that points out Milankovitch cycles alone predict the earth should be cooling now (it isn't) and that
non-orbital effects can be important (for example, the human impact on the environment principally increases greenhouse gases resulting in a warmer climate)
Milankovitch shifts play out over tens of thousands of years. Orbital change since 1900 is negligible. Which part of the orbit moved enough in 120 years to melt Alpine glaciers? Cycles explain ice ages fine, but they can't explain century-scale retreat.
What makes the "choosing" part concrete for me is flipping between the warming scenarios on the map. Going from 1.5C to 2.7C isn't a small difference. Whole regions like the Alps and the Caucasus go from "thinned out" to basically gone.
For anyone here looking to "do something" about global warming...One thing we're working on is how to avert the worst impacts of the 2026 El Niño, and use that as a way to break open a new conversation about the warming planet and what we can do about it.
One thing we need help with today is finding any other events at New York Climate Week that are about El Niño to feature on our site: https://elninoready.earth/
Is anyone here good at building lists of contacts? We're sending out a "Q&A about El Niño" to everyone organizing events at New York Climate Week, with the goal of having them spent 2 minutes talking about El Niño at their event.
It's funny that your kinds of ideas were heresy a decade ago. Back then, we weren't supposed to think there was anything we could do about the effects of global warming in case we started to think mitigation was possible and stopped panicking. I suppose now that's politically permissiable?
Nit: "extinction" is borrowed from biology here. Glaciologists would say "disappearance", and I think the cutoff is some tiny residual ice volume, not zero. I could be wrong, but that might explain the odd dates next to Okjökull. Still a nice map.
Agreed. Assuming that climate change is real, and to add, it is happening faster than nearly all predictions: what are your going to do for yourself, and for you children/nephews and nieces? How do we prepare them?
For anyone here looking to "do something" about global warming...One thing we're working on is how to avert the worst impacts of El Niño, and use that as a way to break open a new conversation about the warming planet.
One thing we need help with today is finding any other events at New York Climate Week that are about El Niño to feature on our site: https://elninoready.earth/
Honestly, the boring stuff is what we actually did: bought a house away from flood zones and wildfire areas, and checked insurance availability first. Our quote was 3x for one place we liked. Insurers price climate risk faster than anyone, so I just follow them.
Checking this out, I don't see the Fox Glacier or Franz Josef Glacier specifically listed in the search field, but moving the map around, I was able to find the ice fields.
I see that they both will "survive" to 2100, but I wonder in what state. Check out this time lapse video from 2013 to 2018 showing the Franz Josef Glacier's drastic retreat! [3]
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Franz_Josef_Glacier
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fox_Glacier
[3] https://youtu.be/LUs_20kRHDw?si=k1nJB2z_kn8T--uT&t=17